A pop-up appeared on my computer screen offering to calculate my “retirement number.” The message said it could tell me the amount of savings I’ll need to retire comfortably. I’ve seen these enticements before, usually offered by a well-known and highly regarded financial institution. Even the robo-advisors and their calculators are carbon copies of the industry’s accepted approach.
I don’t question the so-called Monte Carlo investment algorithms used to simulate market returns. What I do fault is the entire premise of extending that simulated market performance to individual investors’
personal retirement plans. An individual investor is not a pension or endowment fund with other sources to draw on, or with a virtually perpetual existence. More